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Global Economy Bursting?

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ROUBINI: QE3 Has Begun

http://www.businessinsider.com/roubini-qe3-has-begun-2011-8

He has a point and at the borrowing rates for bonds for Italy & Spain, something up with the shadow banks.


This is going to be the last dance.

tango.jpg
 
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China is the most protectionist country in the world - it sure seems to work for them. Is there rhetoric regarding retaliation - Yes! - And they can worry all the way to the bank with massive surpluses. They need to implement Fiscal and monetary policies to prevent their economy from overheating. Yes, they have many worries.

A steel company that forms in the US for US buyers, is a domestic company for the domestic market. How can that steel company compete against cheap foreign steel imports- it can't unless their are tariffs on imports or imports aren't allowed into the country. US companies try to buy Chinese companies all the time - they can't. US companies want to export to China all the time - They can't. They can only build factories inside China, employ chinese labor and ship to China's market and export to the rest of the world from China. The one's that benefit are the businesses that participate in the Chinese economy, not the people of the US - that wealth doesn't land here. Unless you consider the few percent of people whom reside in the US that own international companies, that have their employment overseas. Most of their wealth stays overseas anyway.

I'm not talking about foreign internationals building factories here, I'm talking about new companies forming here for the domestic market - screw the internationals if they don't want to open a factory here.

US goods can differentiate themselves if we can offer a superior product and even though they may cost more, people will buy them overseas if they want to, if not, let it be.

The way it should work is: The US needs to be primarily self sufficient in the most important industries for our economic and political security - the more dependent we are on international products for our survival the more we will suffer in the long haul. Anything above that baseline can be imported. We need to foster this self-sufficiency again. The government and people need to decide what are these basic necessities (Energy production and resources, Raw Materials for Construction of vital products, Clean Air and Resources, Technology, etc., ) Can we import olive oil from italy, sure, that only makes sense. Can we import solar cells from China? - I hope not. We need our own energy market. Can we import oil from other countries? - we have too! - but we need to do everything possible (outside of destroying our land and water) to become energy independent (which means to focus beyond carbon based energy - oil, gas, coal) - China is doing this already - they know what the word "finite resource" means.
There are many things that work well when you are trying to become king of the hill that are totally useless for staying there. You can also accomplish magical things when you won't hesitate to shoot anyone who disagrees with you. Looking to China for economic guidance is not very bright if you want a free society.
 
Foxconn to replace workers with 1 million robots in 3 years

http://news.xinhuanet.com/english2010/china/2011-07/30/c_131018764.htm

SHENZHEN, July 29 (Xinhua) -- Taiwanese technology giant Foxconn will replace some of its workers with 1 million robots in three years to cut rising labor expenses and improve efficiency. Foxconn is the world's largest maker of computer components. The company currently employs 1.2 million people, with about 1 million of them based on the Chinese mainland.


Illegals leave California for home, better opportunities

http://appraisersforum.com/showpost.php?p=2155317&postcount=13412
 
Workbox...you predicted a serious downturn recently. So far I see nothing that refutes that possibility. Nothing Washington has done gives me hope that it can be averted. Europe appears to be on the cusp of imploding the euro. The ECB is more toothless than the Fed...speaking of which...The market appears to be dictating to the Fed that they (the Fed) MUST ABSOLUTELY start this QE3 crap. And obviously Wall Street is dictating to the Fed. If a bold Fed Chair and expert on the depression, like Ben Bernanke, were still alive today, they would tell Wall St. to shove it. Wall St. is gaming the system and making a killing. The tail is wagging the dog.
 
There are many things that work well when you are trying to become king of the hill that are totally useless for staying there. You can also accomplish magical things when you won't hesitate to shoot anyone who disagrees with you. Looking to China for economic guidance is not very bright if you want a free society.

If I disagree with some aspects of Chinese government policy, it doesn't mean I disagree with every government policy in China. We can learn things from any situation and government, even our enemies and frenemies.

China is evolving and so is its social and political system. Their system is improving and ours is degrading. Most of the masses appreciate their government, their history and see that it is instrumental in improving their lives as time passes. In contrast, most of our people despise our government (there is good reason) and are quick to put down other governments, they are quick to point out problems with China but slow to focus on our own problems.

The biggest difference between the Chinese and the West, is that individuals in the west see themselves as the center of the universe, which is even reflected in many of the modern religions that are so popular now. In China, they see themselves as part of a group, and their worth in how well they support the group, the business and their country. This is more like the Christian, Buddhist ways of thinking.

I think we went too far with ME, me, me! - Our western culture would benefit from a greater social consciousness in general.

The last thing I would want is China to adopt our shallow culture and have their government be over-run by mega corporations and investment cartels. China will have its own style of government and economic system to match their cultural differences. I doubt they will ever become us (in our current state).

What we need to do is evolve our business model and rein back in excesses of corporate power, corporate size and restore competition. Then, find a way to create incentives for businesses to promote operating in profit for not only itself but the community - instead of maximum profit at all cost, including plundering the environment and poisoning people with unsafe products and pollution.

While I understand China's need to employ their people, it is blatantly unfair to control their currency and the west is suffering for it. However, it isn’t in the act that is wrong, it is in the degree. The US is controlling its currency as well. Driving down the dollar with QE is just another way of competing with China using currency valuation.

However, I agree with their policy of executing executives that harm and poison the masses for added profit or out of complete negligence. In the west, this bad behavior is standard operating procedure (whatever you can legally get away with gets a blessing from the god of capitalism). Any person, no matter their status, should pay for their crimes and when you kill and harm thousands of people with such a product out of greed and negligence, the only thing you can give up is your one sorry life (hardly, a fair trade).

You say we are a free society? I don't buy the idea that you are either a free society or not a free society. There are freedoms in China, just as there are freedoms here, although, how we rate these freedoms in quality and breadth would depend upon one's social position or income for both countries.
 
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"Fannie has her hand out.again "

I believe a more appropriate depiction would be she is back on the street corner in Washington DC.
 
There is a long-running discussion about tax policy here. I submit that the even bigger problem is regulation. The O administration posted another 609 federal regulations in the last Federal Register. And this happens each time the Federal Register comes out. Each time, it makes it harder for a business to comply, to compete, or even to know how to respond to all these regulations.

Currently, US businesses are setting on an estimated $2T in CASH. But there is absolutely no way a business is going to significantly expand and hire in this uncertain regulatory environment.

Tax laws are secondary now. Regulations are first.
 
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