And I believe I said this back in January... the only hope is that Libya will calm down, and the traders (speculators) will finally lose their hedge, perhaps mid-summer, like last time (2008) and prices will fall somewhat, but not back to $40. I would think getting crude back below $100 within the next year is a tough sell.
As for the energy industry, on shore, drillers are shifting from drilling shale gas to drilling "liquids rich" [oil] plays like the Eagle Ford (S. Texas) and the Bakken (Dakotas) The new talk is the Niobrara of E. Wyoming. Again, only high oil prices are fueling these plays.
Passing thru S. Ill. and S. Ind. last week I noted many of those old shallow wells are slowly pumping. Years ago, many were idle for weeks at a time. It simply wasn't economic to pump them. Today, it is and that one or two bbl. of oil per day translates into $200, well above the pumping costs. That's a good thing but not nearly enough to stop this high fuel cost scenario until our government gets serious about converting the fleet of vehicles to natural gas...perferably with parts built in the U. S. by U. S. workers.