WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- People weren't buying many houses even when they could get a mortgage. And now that it's become impossible for some buyers to get a loan, it's likely sales will fall further.
Housing now has three strikes against it:
- The supply of homes is much, much too high.
- Prices are too high.
- Getting a mortgage isn't easy.
The bubble in home prices was fed primarily by lax underwriting standards for mortgages. Under the new regime, buyers will be approved for loans that they can repay, which means middle-class incomes will no longer support $700,000 mortgages. If you want to sell your house for that, you'll have to find a rich person willing to live in your three-bedroom ranch. Dozens of lenders have shuttered their doors and stopped lending to subprime or Alt-A buyers. Adjustable-rate mortgages are more expensive than fixed rates. Many borrowers are turning to government programs.
In the meantime, prepare for more horrible news. On Thursday, for instance, the mortgage bankers will report on the number of mortgage defaults and foreclosures...