• Welcome to AppraisersForum.com, the premier online  community for the discussion of real estate appraisal. Register a free account to be able to post and unlock additional forums and features.

Housing Bubble Bursting?

Status
Not open for further replies.
How bad off is Countrywide?

Countrywide Chief Angelo Mozilo Says Rate Cuts Alone Won't Fix Home Sales

Countrywide Financial Corp. Chief Executive Officer Angelo Mozilo, whose mortgage company plans to eliminate as many as 12,000 jobs, said interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve won't be enough to revive home sales.

``The issues the economy is facing are worse than most people believe,'' Mozilo said in a Sept. 7 interview. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should be allowed to finance bigger home loans, and limits for government mortgage insurance through the Federal Housing Administration should be raised, he said.

The Fed must make more money available for mortgages by lowering its target for overnight loans between banks by at least one percentage point, and by further reducing the discount rate at which it lends to banks, said the 68-year-old Mozilo. The Fed is scheduled to meet Sept. 18 to set rates.

U.S. lawmakers should increase the cap on mortgages that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac can buy to $650,000 from the current $417,000, Mozilo said. The cap hurts the most expensive markets where almost all mortgages are jumbos, he said. The median sales price for a single-family home in San Jose, California, known for its Silicon Valley technology companies, was $788,000 in the first quarter, according to data compiled by the National Association of Realtors.

Consumers' options for loans are dwindling or getting more costly as investors shun mortgage-backed bonds that aren't backed by the federal agency Ginnie Mae, or by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, whose status as government-chartered entities gives their securities an implied U.S. guarantee.
My bold. There it is, a news source is picking up on the implied guarantee by the government.

Countrywide must be in real trouble. Of course a large number of its loans are in California. Borrowers have no place to go for financing or refinancing.
 
Countrywide begging for investors

Report says Countrywide seeking new investors

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Countrywide Financial, the nation's largest mortgage lender, is looking for a fresh cash infusion and has hired Goldman Sachs to help it find investors, a report in the New York Post said Monday. The report, citing unnamed sources, said Countrywide is looking to cut a deal similar to the one the company made with Bank of America last month. Bank of America bought a stake in Countrywide for $2 billion in August. The Post said in its story that sources said a group that could include J.P. Morgan and Citigroup as well as several hedge funds has expressed interest in Countrywide.
 
At least the stock will go up today.New cooked stats will have the Enron crowd buying stocks.Classic 1929-1931...
 
I attended a meeting in Denver today with representatives of Fannie Mae...

Would you believe they anticipate 75,000 REOs over the next 2 years?
 
I attended a meeting in Denver today with representatives of Fannie Mae...

Would you believe they anticipate 75,000 REOs over the next 2 years?

I'm not surprised, but it sounds like you are.
 
House of cards?:shrug:

DEBT-LADEN HOMEOWNERS SAVE PLASTIC FIRST

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070912/homeowners_credit_cards.html?.v=2

The proliferation of no-money-down home loans over the past few years, coupled with the current housing downturn, is giving rise to a new mentality: People will risk losing their homes while doing everything to keep their credit cards.

However, U.S. consumers' increasing reliance on revolving credit also means banks are more vulnerable to credit-card default in the event of a broader economic slowdown, posing another threat to Wall Street already spooked by escalating home-loan defaults. Just like mortgages, the receivables generated by credit cards are often packaged into securities and sold to investors worldwide.
Any unexpected pickup in past-due cards could "affect the asset-backed securities" stuffed with credit-card receivables the way the unexpected surge in overdue mortgages has hurt investors in mortgage-backed bonds, said Bill Knapp, the investment strategist for MainStay Investments in New York. It could be "just like the subprime area," he said, referring to home loans made to people with tarnished payment histories.
 
Here come the dominoes

Banking lawyer sees more mortgage lenders going down

BOSTON (MarketWatch) -- The subprime contagion has already forced several of the nation's largest home lenders into bankruptcy, but a banking attorney specializing in the mortgage industry says the carnage is far from over.

"This isn't the last of it," said Kal Das, head of the global bank and institutional finance and restructuring practice group at law firm Seward & Kissel, in a telephone interview. "Many more mortgage lenders will go down in the coming months."

The pain has spread well beyond subprime and so-called Alt-A mortgages, Das said.

The commercial-paper market on which companies rely for short-term funding needs "is nonexistent right now," he said.

Also, the grief is spilling beyond residential and into the market for commercial real estate, such as office and apartment buildings.
"Lenders are getting jittery and people are thinking twice before lending money" as they demand more documentation and covenants, which is stalling commercial real estate deals, Das said.

He said the turmoil in the mortgage and credit markets will continue to play out and further weaken the residential housing market and possibly push the economy into recession.

"It's not going away anytime soon," Das said. "From all indications, home prices are going to fall next year because of the lag time between the economy and housing prices," he said, estimating that major metropolitan areas will see residential prices drop 5% to 10% next year.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Find a Real Estate Appraiser - Enter Zip Code

Copyright © 2000-, AppraisersForum.com, All Rights Reserved
AppraisersForum.com is proudly hosted by the folks at
AppraiserSites.com
Back
Top