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Housing Bubble Bursting?

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Dee Dee-

Yes it is a spoof. The website is "TheSpoof.com".

I thought it was a nice way to ease into a Saturday morning with a hot cup of coffee. Some humor was good for a change with all the horrible economic news and statistics pouring out about the downward spiral of America.
 
Run ON THE BANKS BEGIN

http://business.timesonline.co.uk/t...ectors/banking_and_finance/article2469784.ece

From The Times
<a href=&quot;http://ad.uk.doubleclick.net/adj/bu...sor;sz=143x50;tile=1;ord=1190027860520?&quot; border=&quot;0&quot; alt=&quot;&quot;></a>
September 17, 2007
Bank seeks takeover as savers push it to brink


An attempt to organize a takeover of Northern Rock was underway last night as regulators, government and bank officials sought to rescue Britain’s fifth largest mortgage lender before the panic among its customers leaves it beyond salvage.
The crisis-hit lender, which was thrown a lifeline by the Bank of England last week, was braced for a further stampede this morning by nervous savers desperate to withdraw their money in the worst run on a British bank for decades.
Last night, however, the Bank of England boosted hopes that a leading banking group might be persuaded to ride to Northern Rock’s rescue.
The Bank made clear that the loan facility which it has given to Northern Rock – allowing it to continue to remain afloat despite a cash crunch that has left it short of funds – will remain available to any institution that buys the lender.

The runs on the bank are about to begin. :fiddle:
 
Bubble, bubble, Greenspan said so!

Greenspan says tried but failed to raise U.S. mortgage rates

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Former Federal Reserve Board chairman Alan Greenspan says he tried to raise mortgage rates to head off a housing bubble, but the effort came to naught because of "global forces" that had the effect of keeping long-term interest rates low.

In an interview early Monday with NBC News's "Today Show," Greenspan said he does not accept blame for the nation's housing bubble.

He noted that 20 to 30 other countries have experienced housing bubbles, adding that these were "all caused by the same thing, this global sharp decline in long-term interest rates, specifically mortgage rates.

On Sunday, Greenspan told CBS's "60 minutes" that he's "pretty gloomy" about the long-term U.S. economic outlook because of prospects for the reemergence of inflation.
Inflation? Oh yeah, dollar falling in value, lower interest rates, FED pumping the system up, etc.
 
So what happens if your lender is ailing?

Ailing lender's checks bounce


"Checks sent out by the troubled American Home Mortgage Investment Corp. to pay the property taxes of more than 70 homeowners in the Baltimore metropolitan area have bounced, local officials said yesterday."

 
Enron accounting, off-balance sheet liabilities still exist

Banks' dark off-balance-sheet world


Financial institutions have been running virtual savings and loans through special-purpose entities with flexible accounting and little oversight. No wonder they're in trouble now.

With all of the problems that we have experienced thus far in structured credit, one might think that there would be more people scratching their heads about why there are so many off-balance-sheet entities in the financial community in the first place.

Of course, the fact that conduits, and special-purpose entities generically, reside off balance sheets is a reason why everyone has been caught by surprise. Because if mountains of this paper are away from plain sight, potential problems can't be anticipated, as you can't attempt to understand what you can't see.

In any case, with the spotlight now trained on the structured-credit arena, institutional investors have become choosier about what paper they're willing to own, thus creating the illiquid environment that the short-term money-market funds and the banks currently find themselves in.

For the banks, this comes at an inconvenient time because they're trying to figure out how to deal with the $300 billion-plus of leveraged buyouts they've committed to finance. Conduits tend to roll at the same time. And last week was one of those occasions when a considerable amount -- more than $100 billion -- of asset-backed commercial paper needed to be rolled, meaning that the debt required refinancing.

Meanwhile, though London appears to be the epicenter of conduit angst these days, our homegrown Citigroup (C, news, msgs) appears to have plenty of exposure. That's according to a friend who in an e-mail to me rattled off the following list of its structured investment vehicles, or SIVs: Beta Finance, Centauri, Dorada, Five Finance, Sedna Finance, Vetra Finance and Zela Finance. He was able to obtain a portfolio commentary for Beta Finance, in whose summary I found three interesting items.

Citigroup notes that the leverage in this particular vehicle, Beta Finance, is "only 14.24 times." Thus, Citigroup, a leveraged entity, owns a gaggle of leveraged S&Ls. That helps illustrate a point I've made many times: that the well of liquidity that bulls were citing two months ago as a reason to be bullish was just a wall of leverage. (It's worth noting that the net asset value of Beta Finance has declined 19% from its high and that Citigroup's other conduits are apparently down a similar amount.)

It just boggles the mind how much leverage is employed by financial institutions and how little knowledge the world has of their workings.

As to why these infinitely leveraged black boxes (with extremely flexible accounting and disclosure rules) exist in the first place, I think we know the pat answer: so that financial institutions can employ them and utilize even more leverage than they are legally allowed to.

Which makes one wonder: Since these entities are designed specifically to circumvent the rules, why have they been countenanced by the rule makers?
Asset backed paper, instead of spreading the risk over a larger group and therefore reducing exposure, has instead become a risk multiplier. Each member does not know their end risk or amount at risk, until it is time to sell or roll over the paper to fresh borrowing.

Leverage is a wonderful thing for multiplying profits; it is a terrible thing that multiplies losses wiping out equity and taking down the principle and asset value.
 
More homes go back to the bank

Foreclosures more than double in past year

'A greater percentage of homes entering foreclosure are going back to the banks.'
— James Saccacio, RealtyTrac

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The number of foreclosure filings has more than doubled in the past year, according to a monthly report released Tuesday by RealtyTrac, an online site that tracks foreclosure properties.

Nearly a quarter of a million foreclosure filings were reported in August, up 115% from a year ago and up 36% from July.

"The jump in foreclosure filings this month might be the beginning of the next wave of increased foreclosure activity, as a large number of subprime adjustable-rate loans are beginning to reset," said James Saccacio, chief executive for RealtyTrac.

At the same time, repossessions are the rise. The RealtyTrac report showed 42,789 homes nationwide were repossessed in August.
 
Good bye dollar, hello Euro

Dollar Gets Slammed on Rate Cut


"The dollar sank versus the euro, but surged against the yen, after the Fed cut rates by 50 bps, to stem economic pressures from a struggling housing market and alarming credit problems."

 
Damn...that almost sounds positive, Randolph!
 
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