hastalavista
Elite Member
- Joined
- May 16, 2005
- Professional Status
- Certified General Appraiser
- State
- California
Personally, I feel marginal borrowers and marginal properties can pose an uncomfortable level of risk. While I could care less about the FICO scores or employment history (not my business), I do care about the property condition when there is a greater chance of this loan going south. There's a greater chance everything about the file will be looked at under a microscope should the loan go bad. God help me if I missed the failing septic system that they carefully threw dirt over and hid with whatever they could....the weeds and debris is stacked up along the north side of the house such that you couldn't see the crack in the foundation....Can this happen with any place we look at? Of course it can, but the likelihood, in my opinion, is greater with B/C borrowers and their 'haven't had the money to fix it' properties.
OK, here's my take:
In general, my experience is the problem with subprime properties is not condition.
As you may know, I do reviews (direct) for B/C lenders (not mortgage brokers). Our company also does pre-foreclosure, foreclosure, and short-sale (for the lender) appraisals. As a rule, most of these properties are fine as far as condition goes. Many of them are relatively new (less than 5-years old, built in large tract development).
Sure, I've had some dogs. But, within the last 3-weeks I reviewed a $3.3-million dollar subprime property that was probably the best in its neighborhood. So, in my market, condition is not a significant subprime issue.
What is a significant subprime issue is the valuation. 100% LTV loans are no mas. And high-LTV, no-doc loans are also bye-bye. People who purchased their homes with a 80-20 piggy-back and are having them reset now thought they could easily refi (since the market was going only up at the time of their purchase). Minimum FICO scores have also been increased across the board by almost every subprime lender.
Bottom line is this: There is more pressure now than ever before to increase the value to get the borrower "qualified". We already know the borrower in the subprime arena has less than "A" credit. So, where does the leverage come from to borrow? From the equity. And if there is no equity because the market has stabilized or declined, then there is no loan possible. Consequently, the pressure to push the value.
As to the "risk" and microscope concern, certainly the appraisal will be reviewed if the loan defaults. I do these types of reviews. But, for a fact, my clients are only interested in "going after the appraiser" if there are significant and identifiable deficiencies in the original report's due diligence. I'm not talking about 5-10% difference. I'm talking about appraising a $800k house for $1,300k. My clients- and all lenders who are in the position to make a decision- have told me the same thing; they don't expect the appraiser to be 100% accurate and don't blame the appraiser if the borrower defaults. They only get irritated when the report leads them to believe the property is something it isn't: Be that a $1,000,000 house when it is really a $800k house, or a "good condition" home when it is a poor condition home.
So, my opinion is that the "risk" for these assignments is no more than any other. If the value is credible and the property is reported to be what it actually is, no problem. If the value is not credible and the property is reported to be something it isn't, that is a problem.
I also do FHA work. Between the two, I view a subprime assignment as less risky. But, that may be because my market is a different from yours.
And, so this stays on topic, with the exception of the fraud potential Pam pointed out, I don't see the desktop valuations any more or less risky for this type of property than a "A" paper property.
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