Denis, I actually welcome criticism and constructive critique. It provides a wealth of information not otherwise available. If all already agreed with me, then there'd be no need to propose anything. MUCH is helpful criticism to better identify & resolve the problem(s). As for those that "don't buy into what I advocate"; the reasons are really pretty simple. (1) Either I have simply failed to present a sufficiently convincing argument as to the need for a change; or the change I propose. (2) Alternatively, the reader may simply be simply philosophically opposed to the vehicle for change I represent (for ex. appraisers guild). (3) OR, they are in fact afraid to be perceived as associating themselves with ANY controversies. (4) Their own "rice bowl" may be at risk of being upset. Its no less a valid concern. (5) Lastly-they may be simply lazy. Blogging only takes time. DOING something takes effort. With the many thousands of appraisers in the Greater Los Angeles Regional area, when TAF/ASB came out here last June for public hearings, I doubt 40 people attended that were not former board members; lobbyists, or committee members. Pitiful.
I'll give you 2-4. But I'll add this to #1:
Yes, your argument may not be as convincing as it need be to win over some doubters.
But, you should consider that there is real and legitimate disagreement with the proposal that is not a matter of being more convincing or persuasive. It goes to the fundamental issue of why fees are low, and that fundamental reason is that there are plenty of suppliers of our services (appraisers and appraisal services) who willingly complete appraisals at a low fee and a quick turn-time; they compete on volume. There are not just a "few" of them. There are a "lot" of them. So many that for AMC work,
the competition is fierce in many urban areas. In rural areas? The AMCs and lenders pay the going rate which is much higher (and more in line with your charts) than they have to pay in the urban/suburban areas. Why? Because there isn't the fierce competition among appraisers in most rural areas. The business volume doesn't support a lot of appraisers; it never has and it likely never will. There isn't much of an imbalance of suppliers in the rural areas.
There is an imbalance in the urban and suburban areas. The proposal to raise fees does nothing to address the imbalance which is the primary reason why fees are as low as they are in those markets. What the proposal does do is increase, across the board, the cost to the borrowers (because you can bet neither the lender nor the AMC is going to shoulder that burden). The proposal, in my opinion, is requiring borrowers (consumers) to pay a higher fee because there are too many appraisers chasing too few jobs for all of them, on average, to be successful. That doesn't do anything for the sustainability or improvement of the profession, it creates an unnecessary* cost to the process, and has absolutely nothing to do with quality.
* I say "unnecessary" and I'm sure that will ruffle some feathers. This isn't about what we individually value our work at. I've yet to meet any appraiser (or anyone else) who doesn't think that they are worth what they earn and usually think they are worth more than what they get. This is about increasing the cost of a service when there is no reason other than the fact that there are too many competitors providing that service for each provider to survive. That is a cold, hard, fact. I don't wish bad times on anyone, and I'm not so special that tomorrow I could be out of clients. This is about artificially raising the cost of a service because there are too many providers in some markets for that service. That is not a wise decision and only benefits a select few.
I've seen a lot of appraisals in my time as a reviewer and as a legal consultant. I can tell you in my opinion, fee doesn't significantly impact the quality of the work. High fee, low fee, or middle fee. Your chances of finding a very good appraisal and a very poor appraisal are about even in any bucket.
You want to have a mandate that will improve the profession? Although I'm against mandates, I'd possibly back this one: Get a mandate that requires an average turn-time of 10-days. Since it is an "average", rush jobs can still occur and those who will take them can likely charge a premium (something that probably doesn't happen that much in the high-competition/low-fee markets). It won't affect rural appraisers, as they likely take longer anyway when it is necessary. Many times, I'm longer than 10-days, so it doesn't benefit me personally. What would a turn-time floor accomplish?
A. Appraisers would be given enough time to do quality work.
B. Lenders can demand a higher quality (less review costs) because now those who do quality work if they have enough time can excel.
C. Appraisal firms that use runners or non-licensed staff to do required appraiser tasks won't find it profitable to engage in such practice; there will be enough time for the appraiser him/herself to do it.
D. Fee is always a competitive factor, but quality would be elevated. Slow down the process and there is no excuse for poor-quality.
What the above doesn't do is guarantee a higher fee for anyone. We still have an oversupply and national fee mandate or a turn-time minimum doesn't change that.
What it does do is provide the opportunity to start competing on quality. And there is no incentive to rush through a job. It would likely reduce if not eliminate a lot of the sweatshops that employ runners and non-licensed personnel. This would happen because the 1- and 2-person team, who cannot be as efficient as a multi-person (with non-licensed personnel) team, can now plan out their workflow and take on more jobs. Right; take on more jobs because there is more time to efficiently schedule and complete the jobs. The advantage that the low-fee sweatshop has will disappear. Fees may not change since I contend that is a function of supply. But quality will (I predict) improve and those with superior quality will begin to be identified and sought-out.
As for the last item my Green-Brother, we were always taught "Once a Marine, always a Marine...however those no longer active or retired are 'former' rather than Ex." Semper Fi from the 9th MAB. As they also said in boot camp; "A day will come when you are old when you will look back and wish you could be back in the Corps." I went back a year ago to MCRD/SD. They don't march as well as we used to. Probably those damned gum soled boots they issue now.
Yeah, they don't march as well as we used to. But they sure look a lot smarter than we were.