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Housing Bubble Bursting?

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80 Percent Of Treasuries Owned By Foreigners

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=afykSkqn4O3Y&refer=exclusive

Not since the 19th century have foreigners held so much American debt, said Alan Taylor, a professor of economic history at the University of California, Davis. International investors own $672 billion of the $835.4 billion Treasuries due in three to 10 years, according to research by Lawrence Dyer, a New York- based strategist at HSBC Securities USA Inc., the investment banking arm of HBSC Holdings Plc in London.


The rising amount of debt controlled by non-U.S. investors is creating concerns in Washington that the nation is too dependent on overseas creditors.


Senator Hillary Clinton, a New York Democrat running for president, said in a Feb. 28 letter to Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke that foreign ownership of ``nearly half'' the U.S. debt was ``a source of great vulnerability.'' The economy ``can too easily be held hostage to the economic decisions being made in Beijing, Shanghai and Tokyo.''

Central banks, whose currency reserves swelled to $5.4 trillion this year, are buying Treasuries with dollars accumulated from exports of goods and oil to America. Foreigners owned less than 35 percent of Treasuries in 2000. Crude prices have tripled during the same period.
 
Randolph,

Yep- Hillary has this right.

Watch for the Chinese to soon start converting their dollars into euros and other currencies.

The dollar is not in good shape. Oil will soon be priced in euros vs. dollars for much of the world.

Brad
 
Housing slump is here to stay

http://www.indystar.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070530/BUSINESS/705300411

New home construction in the U.S. may take until 2011 to return to last year's level, said David Seiders, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders in Washington.

The inventory of unsold homes is the largest since the Chicago-based National Association of Realtors started counting them in 1999, and house prices have suffered the steepest drop since the Great Depression, according to the Realtors' group.
Not to worry, NAR published that the medain home prices are rising for exiting homes over the past several months. How can NAR say in one breath that home prices have suffered the steepest drop since the Great Depression and in the next breath say the housing market is getting better, prices are rising? :huh:
 
Randolph,

Yep- Hillary has this right.

Watch for the Chinese to soon start converting their dollars into euros and other currencies.

The dollar is not in good shape. Oil will soon be priced in euros vs. dollars for much of the world.

Brad
Now what do you project to be the consequences of foreigners not buying U.S. Treasuries or converting the ones they have to Euros or other currencies than the dollar?
 
Randolph,

Yep- Hillary has this right.

Watch for the Chinese to soon start converting their dollars into euros and other currencies.

The dollar is not in good shape. Oil will soon be priced in euros vs. dollars for much of the world.

Brad
Brad,
I am going to search the thread and find the post that I said there would be time very soon that foreigne investors especially chinese are going to stop buying our treasureis and you strogly opposed my perception and you said that you had experience in selling treasuries to japanes in the past and they all love our treasuries. Why are you changing your mind now?
 
Subprime Fiasco Exposes Manipulation by Mortgage Brokerages

It is shameful but a sad fact of what was going on in sub-prime crowd

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=a8VFwgtdQ9FM&refer=home

May 30 (Bloomberg) -- Taher Afghani was working for discount retailer Target Corp. near San Francisco when friends told him about the riches to be made in California's Mortgage Alley.

It was 2004, and the U.S. real estate market was on fire. Down in Southern California, a hub for lenders specializing in loans to people with weak, or subprime, credit, Afghani's pals were making a fortune pushing risky mortgages on homebuyers. After tagging along with a buddy on a company trip to Los Cabos, Mexico, Afghani quit Target, headed south and began hustling loans at Costa Mesa-based Secured Funding Corp.

``I had never seen so much money thrown around in one weekend,'' Afghani, 27, says of the Cabo getaway. ``It was crazy. All these kids, literally 18 to 26, were loaded -- the best clothes, the cars, the girls, everything.'' Soon Afghani, who'd made $58,000 a year managing a Target distribution center, was pulling down $120,000.

Mortgage salesmen like Afghani, many of them based in Orange County, near Los Angeles, lie at the heart of the once-profitable partnership between subprime lenders and Wall Street investment banks that's now unraveling into billions of dollars in losses.

After years of easy profits, a chain reaction of delinquency, default and foreclosure has ripped through the subprime mortgage industry, which originated $722 billion of loans last year. Since the beginning of 2006, more than 50 U.S. mortgage companies have put themselves up for sale, closed or declared bankruptcy, according to data compiled by Bloomberg
 
Appraiser to stop releasing reports

http://www.bakersfield.com/137/story/152727.html

Local real estate appraiser Gary Crabtree announced in a letter Monday that he will no longer provide news media with monthly reports that examine the local real estate market, saying that his business has been damaged because "industry insiders don't want to hear the truth" about a troubled market.

For two years, Crabtree, who runs Affiliated Appraisers, has been providing reports that compile single-family home market statistics, including unsold inventory, existing home prices and new home prices.


As a result, local lenders have ceased to give him appraisal assignments, Crabtree said in his letter, citing a similar "persecution" during the real estate recession of the '90s.

In his letter, Crabtree wrote that lenders have been asking appraisers to "hit" values in violation of the industry's ethical standards.


"That is absolutely true," said Ted Faravelli Jr., a spokesman for the California Association of Real Estate Appraisers. "I'm ashamed to say that."
Pressure on appraisers to deliver a desired home value is increasing as the real estate market cools, Faravelli said.


Recently, Crabtree has also alerted local, state and federal agencies to suspicious real estate transactions that he thinks may be examples of real estate fraud.


His letter bemoans a lack of interest on the part of regulatory agencies in this alleged criminal activity.
Anyone who believes that lenders don't control the appraisal industry? Lenders don't set the standard? :new_smile-l:

Do you want fries with that appraisal, sir? :rof:
 
Mortgage volume decreases as rates rise

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/sto...A3B-7B8E-40CD-8FD4-9064B57D0EC8}&siteid=yhoof
Overall, applications decreased a seasonally adjusted 7.3% for the week ended May 25, compared with the week before. Applications were up 17% as compared to the same week in 2006.
Applications filed to refinance existing mortgages decreased 13% on a week-to-week basis, the MBA's survey showed.
Home purchase applications were down a seasonally adjusted 2.5% for the week.
Refinancings made up 39.7% of all mortgage applications, down from 42.3% in the previous week, while adjustable-rate mortgages fell to 17.7% from 18.1%.
According to the survey, the average interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 6.32%, up from the prior week's 6.23% average. The average rate on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, popular as a refinancing vehicle, also was higher, up to 6.05% from 5.96%.
One-year ARMs averaged 5.74% for the week, up from 5.72% last week.
 
Ohhh! That S&P/Case-Shiller Index!

Topping the list of decliners on a year-over-year basis was Detroit at -8.38%, San Diego at -5.97%, Boston at -4.86%, and Washington DC at -4.78%.

Additionally, both of the broad composite indices showed accelerated declines slumping -1.88% for the 10 city national index and -1.36% for the 20 city national index resulting in the first negative appreciation on an annual basis since the 1990-1991.


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