This profession was supposed to end in the 1970's according to my mentor.
This profession was definitely going to end when AMCs took over.
No doubt the profession was going to end when UAD came about.
Last year when it was announced that some appraisals wouldn't be needed because of appraisal waivers the world had almost come to a stop.
The world HAS to end when the threshold is raised to $400,000 and the commercial threshold is raised to $500,000.
Now that FA owns ACI and with alamode being purchased by Corelogic we might only have days until we are headed to the soup lines.
I am going to guess that alamode has about 30,000 appraisers using their software, maybe more. At an average of $500 for each appraiser that is revenue of $15,000,000 per year. We don't know what Corelogic paid for alamode but it was a substantial number. Would they make a substantial investment so they could eliminate appraisers? That would be a dumb idea. They are in the data business and do very well at it to the tune of over $1,000,000,000 last year. That is what they do.
In order for them to have data they need appraisers to keep feeding the beast which means appraisal jobs are secure. We all know the MLS is many times wrong and we all know that public records are many times wrong.
What is amazing is that for over 30 years the appraisal industry or lending work was going to end and few are doing anything about it and most are taking the easy way out by not enhancing their abilities or knowledge but by further dumbing down their product.
In the last ten years there have been cries over the industry ending or changing dramatically yet the majority of appraisers have not tried to get into other aspects of the business or to learn how to compete in other aspects of the business. With the sky is falling mentality one would think the number of people pursuing a designation would be higher than ever but it isn't.
Will business change? Sure, it most likely will but I don't see the 1004 being eliminated any time soon. There will be less need for the 1004 but it will survive. The addition of these new products will be sorted out by supply and demand. The $65 desktop won't last and supply and demand will most likely push that fee higher.